St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,348  Ali Teliha FR 21:55
1,595  Carina Novell SO 22:10
1,707  Katie Alioto SO 22:17
1,810  Taylor Khan SO 22:23
1,825  Kim Avalos FR 22:24
2,257  Tiffany Monsalud SO 22:52
2,278  Cristina Garcia JR 22:54
2,544  Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara FR 23:09
2,858  Alyssa Horning SO 23:37
National Rank #225 of 340
West Region Rank #31 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ali Teliha Carina Novell Katie Alioto Taylor Khan Kim Avalos Tiffany Monsalud Cristina Garcia Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara Alyssa Horning
Stanford Invitational 09/28 1262 21:41 22:47 22:29 22:05 22:07 22:55 23:05 23:29
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/19 1276 22:07 22:05 22:18 22:46 22:47 23:17 23:45
West Coast Conference Championships 11/02 1282 22:15 22:10 22:50 22:22 22:52 22:59 23:08 23:38
West Region Championships 11/15 21:46 22:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 31.2 916 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.5 4.8 12.0 33.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ali Teliha 161.8
Carina Novell 180.1
Katie Alioto 187.4
Taylor Khan 194.3
Kim Avalos 195.5
Tiffany Monsalud 221.9
Cristina Garcia 223.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 0.0% 0.0 21
22 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 0.5% 0.5 25
26 0.8% 0.8 26
27 1.1% 1.1 27
28 2.5% 2.5 28
29 4.8% 4.8 29
30 12.0% 12.0 30
31 33.4% 33.4 31
32 32.8% 32.8 32
33 10.8% 10.8 33
34 1.0% 1.0 34
35 0.0% 0.0 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0